Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.176820 0.210854 0.249103 0.295187 0.349119 0.410149 0.484354
2025-04-06 0.124079 0.166718 0.220045 0.291288 0.383575 0.498650 0.652528
2025-04-13 0.094822 0.139533 0.200160 0.287642 0.409765 0.573170 0.807131
2025-04-20 0.079412 0.125955 0.193384 0.296958 0.450491 0.667773 0.996101
2025-04-27 0.072265 0.122183 0.198672 0.322501 0.515479 0.801549 1.253381
2025-05-04 0.063798 0.114438 0.196145 0.334931 0.561267 0.911106 1.486017
2025-05-11 0.053944 0.102429 0.184623 0.330763 0.579539 0.979455 1.661458
2025-05-18 0.044649 0.089584 0.169478 0.317888 0.581060 1.020122 1.795464
2025-05-25 0.036756 0.077796 0.154199 0.302210 0.575092 1.046664 1.907269
2025-06-01 0.033053 0.073348 0.151464 0.308467 0.607918 1.141434 2.143139
2025-06-08 0.028029 0.065317 0.140683 0.297976 0.608528 1.179206 2.281864
2025-06-15 0.025558 0.062210 0.139081 0.304933 0.642465 1.279706 2.542094
2025-06-22 0.022962 0.058554 0.136196 0.309718 0.674330 1.382502 2.822518
2025-06-29 0.019971 0.053453 0.129532 0.305844 0.688667 1.454056 3.052305
2025-07-06 0.017431 0.048918 0.123359 0.302049 0.702489 1.525657 3.288763
2025-07-13 0.016114 0.047185 0.123296 0.311800 0.746222 1.661399 3.665819
2025-07-20 0.015911 0.048334 0.130218 0.338528 0.830199 1.887791 4.248386
2025-07-27 0.014930 0.047175 0.131308 0.351532 0.884649 2.056916 4.726168
2025-08-03 0.013201 0.043551 0.125611 0.347172 0.898429 2.139719 5.027419
2025-08-10 0.011305 0.039023 0.116805 0.333701 0.888891 2.170049 5.216985
2025-08-17 0.009562 0.034564 0.107419 0.317296 0.870057 2.177271 5.355355
2025-08-24 0.008863 0.033282 0.106682 0.323844 0.909261 2.321592 5.817086
2025-08-31 0.007672 0.030095 0.099921 0.312866 0.902232 2.356430 6.028546